我行于2007年6月20日至7月1日发行的“同升九号”股票商品联结型理财产品,预期收益起始日为2007年7月2日,理财到期日为2009年7月2日,产品到期收益率需根据产品说明书约定的预期收益条款计算得出。人民币产品预期总收益率区间为0%-27.2%,美元产品预期总收益率区间为0%-45%,现将有关收益情况公布如下:
根据预期收益条款,截止2009年6月29日,“同升九号” 人民币产品8个观察期挂钩标的资产涨跌计算值为12.39%、23.06%、27.67%、27.05%、1.8%、0%、0%和0%;美元产品8个观察期挂钩标的资产涨跌计算值为12.39%、23.06%、29.35%、30.55%、1.8%、0%、0%和0%,人民币产品和美元产品的到期最终收益率分别为7.82%和12.14%。
考虑到投资于单一市场的系统性风险较大,在“同升九号”理财产品设计过程中,我行选取了历史走势相关性较小的股票市场和商品市场作为挂钩标的资产类别,并采取了优化配置的策略。其中,优化配置策略的具体运作方式为,每个季度观察期将挂钩股指标的和商品篮子标的的平均表现进行比较,胜出者获得70%的资产配置比例,表现较差者获得30%的资产配置比例,以此作为该观察期“同升九号”的表现水平。此外,为了避免资本市场走势发生反转或暴跌而侵蚀产品先前已录得正收益的极端情况,本产品溶入了“负值锁零”机制,如果该观察期表现相对于期初下降,即锁定当期表现为零,完全消除负值表现。
以人民币产品和美元产品前期的表现来看,尽管挂钩股票篮子中的丰田汽车和挂钩商品篮子中的基础金属镍走势疲弱,受益于能源、农产品价格屡创新高,希尔顿酒店被黑石集团收购后股价的大幅飙升,以及优化配置策略的收益增强机制,本产品在理财存续期的第一年中表现抢眼,为日后实现较高的收益率奠定了基础。
进入08年以来,伴随次贷危机的逐步深化,股票市场和商品市场的拐点相继出现,本产品部分挂钩股票及商品价格出现罕见的巨幅下跌,并导致优化配置策略分散投资风险的特性大大降低。此时本产品内嵌的“负值锁零”机制发挥出色,完全剔除了挂钩资产下跌带来的不利影响,保住了产品前期已实现的胜利果实,从而确保了人民币产品和美元产品的能够实现较高的投资回报。
附件:中国光大银行“同升9号”观察期挂钩标的资产涨跌幅计算明细表
人民币产品理财收益计算:
观察日
|
阿迪达斯
|
麦当劳
|
希尔顿酒店
|
丰田汽车
|
布伦特原油
|
镍现货价格
|
玉米即期期货价格
|
小麦即期期货价格
|
Ei
|
Ci
|
季平均
|
|
|
a
|
b
|
c
|
d
|
e
|
f
|
g
|
h
|
|
|
|
2007-7-3
|
收盘价
|
47.68
|
51.40
|
36.05
|
7830.00
|
72.93
|
36355.00
|
320.00
|
571.50
|
|
|
|
2007-10-3
|
收盘价
|
46.15
|
56.11
|
46.58
|
6870.00
|
77.19
|
31005.00
|
344.50
|
927.00
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-3.21%
|
9.16%
|
29.21%
|
-12.26%
|
5.84%
|
-14.72%
|
7.66%
|
62.20%
|
5.73%
|
15.25%
|
12.39%
|
2008-1-4
|
收盘价
|
49.81
|
57.05
|
47.50
|
5780.00
|
96.79
|
29515.00
|
466.75
|
931.50
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
4.47%
|
10.99%
|
31.76%
|
-26.18%
|
32.72%
|
-18.81%
|
45.86%
|
62.99%
|
5.26%
|
30.69%
|
23.06%
|
2008-4-3
|
收盘价
|
42.21
|
56.24
|
47.50
|
5160.00
|
102.52
|
28200.00
|
600.00
|
937.00
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-11.47%
|
9.42%
|
31.76%
|
-34.10%
|
40.57%
|
-22.43%
|
87.50%
|
63.95%
|
-1.10%
|
40.00%
|
27.67%
|
2008-7-3
|
收盘价
|
38.95
|
57.19
|
47.50
|
4900.00
|
146.08
|
20965.00
|
746.00
|
872.75
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-18.31%
|
11.26%
|
31.76%
|
-37.42%
|
100.30%
|
-42.33%
|
133.13%
|
52.71%
|
-3.18%
|
40.00%
|
27.05%
|
2008-10-3
|
收盘价
|
37.18
|
60.23
|
47.50
|
4080.00
|
90.25
|
15125.00
|
454.00
|
640.25
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-22.02%
|
17.18%
|
31.76%
|
-47.89%
|
23.75%
|
-58.40%
|
41.88%
|
12.03%
|
-5.24%
|
4.81%
|
1.80%
|
2009-1-5
|
收盘价
|
27.88
|
63.56
|
47.50
|
3010.00
|
49.62
|
12405.00
|
411.25
|
616.75
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-41.53%
|
23.66%
|
31.76%
|
-61.56%
|
-31.96%
|
-65.88%
|
28.52%
|
7.92%
|
-11.92%
|
-15.35%
|
0.00%
|
2009-4-3
|
收盘价
|
27.06
|
56.64
|
47.50
|
3700.00
|
53.47
|
10310.00
|
404.50
|
563.50
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-43.25%
|
10.19%
|
31.76%
|
-52.75%
|
-26.68%
|
-71.64%
|
26.41%
|
-1.40%
|
-13.51%
|
-18.33%
|
0.00%
|
2009-6-29
|
收盘价
|
27.41
|
57.23
|
47.50
|
3570.00
|
70.99
|
15780.00
|
377.00
|
528.50
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-42.51%
|
11.34%
|
31.76%
|
-54.41%
|
-2.66%
|
-56.59%
|
17.81%
|
-7.52%
|
-13.45%
|
-12.24%
|
0.00%
|
8
个观察期均值
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.50%
|
人民币投资收益
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.82%
|
计算公式示例(以2008年7月3日第4个观察日为例):
每观察期商品篮子表现Ci
= 较小值[(a的观察价i/a的期初价+ b的观察价i/b的期初价+ c的观察价i/c的期初价+ d的观察价i/d的期初价) / 4?1,40%]
= 较小值[(146.08/72.93+20965/36355+746.00/320.00+872.75/571.50)/4?1,40%]
= 40%
每观察日股票篮子表现Ei
=较小值[(e的观察价i/e的期初价+ f的观察价i/f的期初价+ g的观察价i/g的期初价+ h的观察价i/h的期初价) / 4 ? 1,40%]
=较小值[(38.95/47.68+57.19/51.40+47.50/36.05+4900/7830)/4?1,40%]
=-3.18%
每观察期产品“最优化配置”表现Ri
= 70% * 较大值 (Ei, Ci) + 30% * 较小值 (Ei, Ci)
= 70% * 较大值(-3.18%, 40%)+30% * 较小值(-3.18%, 40%)
= 27.05%
产品到期总收益率
= 较大值[ 0% , (R1+R2+…+R8)/8 ] * 参与率
= 较大值[ 0% , (12.39% + 23.06% + 27.67% + 27.05% +1.8% + 0% + 0% + 0%)/8] * 68%
=
7.82%
美元产品理财收益计算:
观察日
|
阿迪达斯
|
麦当劳
|
希尔顿酒店
|
丰田汽车
|
布伦特原油
|
镍现货价格
|
玉米即期期货价格
|
小麦即期期货价格
|
Ei
|
Ci
|
季平均
|
|
|
a
|
b
|
c
|
d
|
e
|
f
|
g
|
h
|
|
|
|
2007-7-3
|
收盘价
|
47.68
|
51.40
|
36.05
|
7830.00
|
72.93
|
36355.00
|
320.00
|
571.50
|
|
|
|
2007-10-3
|
收盘价
|
46.15
|
56.11
|
46.58
|
6870.00
|
77.19
|
31005.00
|
344.50
|
927.00
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-3.21%
|
9.16%
|
29.21%
|
-12.26%
|
5.84%
|
-14.72%
|
7.66%
|
62.20%
|
5.73%
|
15.25%
|
12.39%
|
2008-1-4
|
收盘价
|
49.81
|
57.05
|
47.50
|
5780.00
|
96.79
|
29515.00
|
466.75
|
931.50
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
4.47%
|
10.99%
|
31.76%
|
-26.18%
|
32.72%
|
-18.81%
|
45.86%
|
62.99%
|
5.26%
|
30.69%
|
23.06%
|
2008-4-3
|
收盘价
|
42.21
|
56.24
|
47.50
|
5160.00
|
102.52
|
28200.00
|
600.00
|
937.00
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-11.47%
|
9.42%
|
31.76%
|
-34.10%
|
40.57%
|
-22.43%
|
87.50%
|
63.95%
|
-1.10%
|
42.40%
|
29.35%
|
2008-7-3
|
收盘价
|
38.95
|
57.19
|
47.50
|
4900.00
|
146.08
|
20965.00
|
746.00
|
872.75
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-18.31%
|
11.26%
|
31.76%
|
-37.42%
|
100.30%
|
-42.33%
|
133.13%
|
52.71%
|
-3.18%
|
45.00%
|
30.55%
|
2008-10-3
|
收盘价
|
37.18
|
60.23
|
47.50
|
4080.00
|
90.25
|
15125.00
|
454.00
|
640.25
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-22.02%
|
17.18%
|
31.76%
|
-47.89%
|
23.75%
|
-58.40%
|
41.88%
|
12.03%
|
-5.24%
|
4.81%
|
1.80%
|
2009-1-5
|
收盘价
|
27.88
|
63.56
|
47.50
|
3010.00
|
49.62
|
12405.00
|
411.25
|
616.75
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-41.53%
|
23.66%
|
31.76%
|
-61.56%
|
-31.96%
|
-65.88%
|
28.52%
|
7.92%
|
-11.92%
|
-15.35%
|
0.00%
|
2009-4-3
|
收盘价
|
27.06
|
56.64
|
47.50
|
3700.00
|
53.47
|
10310.00
|
404.50
|
563.50
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-43.25%
|
10.19%
|
31.76%
|
-52.75%
|
-26.68%
|
-71.64%
|
26.41%
|
-1.40%
|
-13.51%
|
-18.33%
|
0.00%
|
2009-6-29
|
收盘价
|
27.41
|
57.23
|
47.50
|
3570.00
|
70.99
|
15780.00
|
377.00
|
528.50
|
|
|
|
涨跌幅
|
-42.51%
|
11.34%
|
31.76%
|
-54.41%
|
-2.66%
|
-56.59%
|
17.81%
|
-7.52%
|
-13.45%
|
-12.24%
|
0.00%
|
8
个观察期均值
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.14%
|
美元投资收益
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.14%
|
计算公式示例(以2008年7月3日第4个观察日为例):
每观察期商品篮子表现Ci
= 较小值[(a的观察价i/a的期初价+ b的观察价i/b的期初价+ c的观察价i/c的期初价+ d的观察价i/d的期初价) / 4?1,45%]
= 较小值[(146.08/72.93+20965/36355+746.00/320.00+872.75/571.50)/4?1,45%]
= 45%
每观察日股票篮子表现Ei
=较小值[(e的观察价i/e的期初价+ f的观察价i/f的期初价+ g的观察价i/g的期初价+ h的观察价i/h的期初价) / 4 ? 1,45%]
=较小值[(38.95/47.68+57.19/51.40+47.50/36.05+4900/7830)/4?1,45%]
=-3.18%
每观察期产品“最优化配置”表现Ri
= 70% * 较大值 (Ei, Ci) + 30% * 较小值 (Ei, Ci)
= 70% * 较大值(-3.18%, 45%)+30% * 较小值(-3.18%, 45%)
= 30.55%
产品到期总收益率
= 较大值[ 0% , (R1+R2+…+R8)/8 ] * 参与率
= 较大值[ 0% , (12.39% + 23.06% + 29.35% + 30.55% +1.8% + 0% + 0% + 0%)/8] * 100%
=
12.14%
中国光大银行
2009年7月1日
|